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Examining Earnings and Yields
We received numerous new data updates last week, and most provided positive news for the economy. Retail sales, housing starts, and industrial production all beat expectations and increased in March.[iii]
Amid last week’s primarily positive data updates, two key occurrences also affected markets:
- Corporate earnings
- Treasury yields
A Closer Look
- Earnings Season Continued
As of April 20, about 16% of S&P 500 companies shared their results for the 1st quarter, and over 80% of them beat earnings expectations.[iv] However, this solid performance has yet to impress investors. While most companies have exceeded earnings projections, their stocks haven’t reflected the growth.
On the other hand, companies that have beaten their sales projections—but missed on earnings-per-share—have dropped an average of 4.4% on their release days.[v]
Takeaway: So far, corporate earnings are on the rise, but any companies that don’t beat estimates are experiencing considerable stock declines.[vi]
- Treasury Yields Rose
The yield on 10-year Treasuries hit 2.96%—the highest point since 2014. At the same time, the 2-year yield climbed to its highest since 2008.[vii] When interest rates rise, companies have higher borrowing costs, and bonds become a more enticing alternative to stocks.
Some investors are also concerned that the difference between the two Treasuries’ yields is too close. This occurrence, known as a flattening yield curve, can imply that investors are not confident in the long-term economic outlook.[viii]
Takeaway: Rising Treasury rates are worth paying attention to. If they are a symptom of a growing economy, the markets should be able to handle them. However, if questions about economic growth accompany the increases, investors may worry.
What Is Ahead
We are now in earnings season’s busiest week, when more than a third of S&P companies will release their reports.[ix] Additionally, on Friday, April 27, the initial estimate of the 1st quarter Gross Domestic Product will come out.[x]
All this information will help deepen our understanding of where the economy stands—and what may lie ahead. If you have any questions about current data or future projections, we are available to talk.
Tuesday: New Home Sales, Consumer Confidence
Thursday: Durable Goods Orders, Jobless Claims
Friday: GDP, Employment Cost Index, Consumer Sentiment
Notes: All index returns (except S&P 500) exclude reinvested dividends, and the 5-year and 10-year returns are annualized. The total returns for the S&P 500 assume reinvestment of dividends on the last day of the month. This may account for differences between the index returns published on Morningstar.com and the index returns published elsewhere. International performance is represented by the MSCI EAFE Index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.
|“People who are crazy enough to think they can change the world are the ones who do.”|
Pork Ragu Rigatoni
Recipe adapted from Good Housekeeping 
Where’s My Refund?
You filed your taxes. Now you’re waiting and wondering: When do I get my tax refund check?
The IRS provides taxpayers with the Where’s My Refund? app to help track the status of their refunds. Taxpayers will need their Social Security numbers, their filing status, and the exact dollar amount of their refunds.
Tax filers may start tracking the status of their returns within 24 hours after receiving notice from the IRS that their e-filed returns were received, or four weeks following the filing of their paper return.
The agency’s tracker shows progress of the return in 3 stages: The IRS receives the tax filing, approves it, and sends the return. It updates the app once every 24 hours. Frequent viewing of the app will not generate live status updates.
Taxpayers who file amended returns may track their refund statuses at: Where’s My Amended Return?
The IRS generally sends most refunds within 21 days.
* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax advisor.
Tip adapted from IRS.gov.
*This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax advisor.
How to Completely Overhaul Your Putt
The putter, the smallest of clubs, is only used on the green after you’ve been able to get the ball near the hole. But those seemingly short, simple shots with the simple putter are often the cause of the greatest golfing grief.
How can you overhaul your putting skills to make your time on the green more productive and satisfying?
Here are 4 tips for creating a deeper relationship with your putter and a more enduring experience on the short grass:
- Fire your putter. If you and your putter frequently have rather cantankerous exchanges, try tossing the old stick. Check out the alternatives: a center shaft, a mallet, or a heel-shafted putter. Go to a shop and get measured for a better fit. The union of you and your old putter is not till death do us part.
- Seek putter counseling. Maybe, just maybe, it’s not your putter that’s the problem. You think maybe it’s you? Go see a pro to analyze the mechanics of your putting. Are you doing something fundamentally wrong? Your shoulders provide the putter punch, not your hand or wrist action. Try using your sand wedge to reinforce your putting skills.
- Get a grip, dude. Did you ever think it could be your grip? Try holding your putter differently. How about flipping the locations of your right and left hands? Sometimes just changing your grip rewires your brain, and leads to more sinking balls.
- Turn off the left brain. We’re talking art, man. Many golfers fall into the trap of overanalyzing their putts, trying to incorporate principles of geometry, calculus, physics, meteorology, even astronomy. All that science sometimes makes for some very sad putts. Putt like a kid. Don’t give it any thought. Be outrageous. Carefree. You may even skip if you feel so inclined.
Tip adapted from Golf Digest[xiii]
Strengthen Weak or Injured Knees
Taking a knee is more than a political statement. Strong, functional knees make walking, running, and moving around easier. You can incorporate knee-strengthening exercises into your routine. If your doctor gives you the green light, here are 6 exercises to help put the hop and the skip back in your step:
- Warm Up: Ride a stationary bike, take a walk, or do some wall push-ups.
- Straight Leg Raises: Lie on your back on the floor. Bend one leg and raise the other leg to the height of the raised knee. Do 3 sets of 10-15 repetitions.
- Hamstring Curls: Lie on your stomach. Raise your heels slowly as close to your butt as possible. Do 3 sets of 10-15 repetitions.
- Prone Leg Raises: Lie on your stomach. Keep your legs straight. Lift one leg upward. Hold 3-5 seconds. Do 10-15 repetitions. Then do the other leg.
- Wall Squats: Keep your feet on the floor, shoulder length apart. Lean your back against the wall. Bend your knees slowly while keeping your back and pelvis against the wall. Hold for 5-10 seconds. Try to hold the seat position a few seconds longer each time. Repeat.
- Calf Raises: While standing, face the back of a chair or other sturdy support. Slowly raise your heels. You can also do this with your heels hanging off a step or a raised platform. Do 3 sets of 10-15 repetitions.
Exercise should never cause you pain. But sore muscles after a good workout is a good sign.
Tip adapted from WebMD[xiv]
Skip Meat Once a Week
You don’t have to become a vegetarian to help save the planet. But going without meat once a week can have an impact.
Here are some meaty facts about what it takes to get that big, juicy burger to your plate:
- It takes 1,850 gallons of water to produce a burger. Most of that water is used to grow grain to feed cattle.
- Cattle ranchers frequently clear large swaths of tropical forests for pastures.
- Ranching has led to 60% of the Amazon’s deforestation.
- Two football fields of rainforest are destroyed to produce one head of cattle.
At least 100 billion gallons of water would be saved if every American refrained from meat for 1 day.
Tip adapted from Conservation International[xv]
This material is intended to provide general information to help you understand basic retirement income strategies and should not be construed as financial advice.
The information contained in this material is believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed; it is not intended to be used as the sole basis for financial decisions. If you are unable to access any of the news articles and sources through the links provided in this text, please contact us to request a copy of the desired reference.
Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Diversification does not guarantee profit nor is it guaranteed to protect assets. International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. The DJIA was invented by Charles Dow back in 1896. The Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of stocks of technology companies and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) that serves as a benchmark of the performance in major international equity markets as represented by 21 major MSCI indices from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market.
Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You cannot invest directly in an index. Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. These are the views of Platinum Advisor Marketing Strategies, LLC, and not necessarily those of the named representative. Please consult your financial advisor for further information. Member FINRA/SIPC.